With Mavs depression hitting in, I've decided to start looking towards the future. I was bummin yesterday when I started to look at the draft and then remembered that we traded away our pick in the Kidd deal.
BUT THEN!!
I found out that the pick is lotto protected! Woo!!
In addition to Hasheem Thabeet, the 7'3'' shot blocker from UConn, I have found a new guy that I happen to have just fallen in love with.
His name is Serge Ibaka...and as you might have guessed he's African, from Congo actually. Here's a video of him playing against 5th graders.
Taking him #13 or 14 - late lotto - would be too high but if Los Maverickos did fall out of the playoffs dropping back from that spot, picking up extra pick(s) and then grabbing Ibaka late first-early second would be the shiz.
Tuesday, March 25, 2008
Sunday, March 23, 2008
Mavs
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!
Tuesday, February 26, 2008
Early Baseball Look
Just had my 2008 College Baseball Draft Rankings posted up on Project Prospect.
I was proud of the work I was able to do last year leading up to the MLB draft and this year the draft coverage will be much, MUCH deeper. There are a few guys I already think I missed on (underrating Jarrod Parker and Jordan Zimmerman and overrating Wes Roemer.) I will still have my Ranger based coverage on here but the majority of the work will be on Project Prospect.
I was proud of the work I was able to do last year leading up to the MLB draft and this year the draft coverage will be much, MUCH deeper. There are a few guys I already think I missed on (underrating Jarrod Parker and Jordan Zimmerman and overrating Wes Roemer.) I will still have my Ranger based coverage on here but the majority of the work will be on Project Prospect.
Tuesday, February 19, 2008
It's Finally Done
One really funny note from Cuban's blog : "The difficult. Saying goodbye to Devin, Gana and Trenton. All 3 are great guys in every way...I also think this will be a great chance for Mo Ager to start fresh."
Not so much Ager love huh? I guess they wanted Less Ager!!!!!! hahahahahahahahhahaahahahah!
I'm hilarious
**Sorry. This entire situation has driven me insane.**
I love the Mavericks for their player development philosophy and progressive attitudes in every facet of the game as much as for their success, or affinity for players, or Avery, or the fact that their my home town team.
I love the Mavs. I will always love the Mavs. It angers me when I see something that I've invested so much emotionally in doing something that hurts it.
Jason Kidd is at best a small marginal upgrade at PG and quite possibly a small downgrade. This teams' offense was an elite unit...when everyone was healthy.
January 27th may be the worst day in recent Maverick history. On that day Devin Harris got hurt.
Stack, Damp, Josh, Diop, and Dirk have all missed time and/or been at <100% for almost all of the time between now and then. Since that time Dallas has struggled some on the court. The half court offense has stagnated with JJB running the point. Defense has suffered. There has seemed to be less joy. LA and Pheonix both made splashy moves that got the talking heads on ESPN gushing about their new improved - or "improved" in the case of the Suns' - rosters and all but gaven them the trophy.
I believe Cuban and Donnie and the rest of the Mavs brass got suckered into making a panic move. At least half of the top 8 guys were banged up or MIA, they didn't play as well as they are capable - but still better than anyone in Miami or New York or half a dozen other NBA cities wish their teams could play - they wanted to get back into the limelight.
More from Cubes, "I think the spark and excitement that JKidd will bring is more than just what his talent offers. There is a reason why Kobe and Lebron were lobbying management to bring JKidd in. We think he will recharge the batteries of not just our players, but the organization, fans, media and even merchandise and advertising sales."
I'm not mad at Cuban for saying that. He's a business man so of course this a good short term move for him.
I can't just look at the trade with those green colored glasses though.
The idea that once the deal Mavs and Nets played just the tip with the deal, and it was reported as "imment" that they couldn't go back. I call bullshit. Mo Ager is the only guy in the deal that hasn't been traded in his career...is it really going to effect his game that much?
Maybe Devin sulked upon first hearing the news. Would you want a leader on your team to be happy about going from a team with a legit shot of winning it all to a team where the 6K fans in their old high school gym every night are just wondering about ping pong balls? He's a pro, he could have been just fine back here. Pandora's box wasn't opened. Ask Tony Parkder how it feels to be a young PG on a championship level team and your organization almost bring in Jason Kidd to usurp you.
I love Jason Kidd. I honestly think that he may be the greatest point guard of all time, at least top 3 and in the discussion. He's unquestionablly the best all around 1 of my generation. Him being a former Mav I got to see him up close at the beginning of his career and have followed him closely ever since.
He's a much better passer than Devin. But that's the only spot where we can expect a huge improvement. J-Kidd is the best rebounding PG who's not 6'9'' of all time, but almost all of those boards are defense and Dallas is a really good defensive rebounding team. Maybe loosing Diop - a fantastic rebounder - the Mavs will send Dirk upcourt faster leaving open boards for Kidd to try and start a fast break. Do you really think Avery is going to tell Dirk not to rebound? Me either. Kidd's rebounding numbers are already way down since Josh Boone has been back in the lineup; without him NJ was one of the worst rebounding teams in the league...lots of loose boards for Kidd to pick up.
As bad a shooter as Harris is, Kidd is worse. He releases the ball too low and too far out in front of him, he has a line drive stroke that has always kept down his FG%. Kidd doesn't have the speed to drive past really quick guards anymore, so people leave him space to brick 20 footers. Kidd is still a good defender but will have problems against the Tony Parkers, Chris Pauls, and Steve Nashs of the world. He can D up bigger guards like nobody's business and post up smaller guards offensivley but the Mavs just traded away the best defensive 1 in the league for a guy who was better...5 years ago. Kidd's turnover rate has spiked significantly this year.
Maybe Jason will hope in the 'Juvination Machine and be amped up to play D against the elite guards in the West. Maybe Dallas will get out and run more, and actually be able to run a pick and roll in a halfcourt set. Maybe Kidd will hit those shots in clutch times like he's done so often before. Maybe his playoff savy-ness and guts and heart and determination and sheer strength of will will take this team to the promise land. Maybe Dallas has another trade in the shadows to bring in some depth on the front line, a defensive presense down low. I sure hope.
But I wouldn't have traded a 24 year old PG who's one of the top 6-7 in the league with potential to be top 3 AS WELL AS my best low post defender - in the conference where I could concievably have to play some combination of David West, Tyson Chandler, Carlos Boozer, Amare, Shaq, Bynum, Gasol, and Tim Duncan just to get to the finals - AND two first round picks just to find out when my team was already championship caliber and my window in which I could realistically win it all was at least 3 years longer before the trade than after.
Not so much Ager love huh? I guess they wanted Less Ager!!!!!! hahahahahahahahhahaahahahah!
I'm hilarious
**Sorry. This entire situation has driven me insane.**
I love the Mavericks for their player development philosophy and progressive attitudes in every facet of the game as much as for their success, or affinity for players, or Avery, or the fact that their my home town team.
I love the Mavs. I will always love the Mavs. It angers me when I see something that I've invested so much emotionally in doing something that hurts it.
Jason Kidd is at best a small marginal upgrade at PG and quite possibly a small downgrade. This teams' offense was an elite unit...when everyone was healthy.
January 27th may be the worst day in recent Maverick history. On that day Devin Harris got hurt.
Stack, Damp, Josh, Diop, and Dirk have all missed time and/or been at <100% for almost all of the time between now and then. Since that time Dallas has struggled some on the court. The half court offense has stagnated with JJB running the point. Defense has suffered. There has seemed to be less joy. LA and Pheonix both made splashy moves that got the talking heads on ESPN gushing about their new improved - or "improved" in the case of the Suns' - rosters and all but gaven them the trophy.
I believe Cuban and Donnie and the rest of the Mavs brass got suckered into making a panic move. At least half of the top 8 guys were banged up or MIA, they didn't play as well as they are capable - but still better than anyone in Miami or New York or half a dozen other NBA cities wish their teams could play - they wanted to get back into the limelight.
More from Cubes, "I think the spark and excitement that JKidd will bring is more than just what his talent offers. There is a reason why Kobe and Lebron were lobbying management to bring JKidd in. We think he will recharge the batteries of not just our players, but the organization, fans, media and even merchandise and advertising sales."
I'm not mad at Cuban for saying that. He's a business man so of course this a good short term move for him.
I can't just look at the trade with those green colored glasses though.
The idea that once the deal Mavs and Nets played just the tip with the deal, and it was reported as "imment" that they couldn't go back. I call bullshit. Mo Ager is the only guy in the deal that hasn't been traded in his career...is it really going to effect his game that much?
Maybe Devin sulked upon first hearing the news. Would you want a leader on your team to be happy about going from a team with a legit shot of winning it all to a team where the 6K fans in their old high school gym every night are just wondering about ping pong balls? He's a pro, he could have been just fine back here. Pandora's box wasn't opened. Ask Tony Parkder how it feels to be a young PG on a championship level team and your organization almost bring in Jason Kidd to usurp you.
I love Jason Kidd. I honestly think that he may be the greatest point guard of all time, at least top 3 and in the discussion. He's unquestionablly the best all around 1 of my generation. Him being a former Mav I got to see him up close at the beginning of his career and have followed him closely ever since.
He's a much better passer than Devin. But that's the only spot where we can expect a huge improvement. J-Kidd is the best rebounding PG who's not 6'9'' of all time, but almost all of those boards are defense and Dallas is a really good defensive rebounding team. Maybe loosing Diop - a fantastic rebounder - the Mavs will send Dirk upcourt faster leaving open boards for Kidd to try and start a fast break. Do you really think Avery is going to tell Dirk not to rebound? Me either. Kidd's rebounding numbers are already way down since Josh Boone has been back in the lineup; without him NJ was one of the worst rebounding teams in the league...lots of loose boards for Kidd to pick up.
As bad a shooter as Harris is, Kidd is worse. He releases the ball too low and too far out in front of him, he has a line drive stroke that has always kept down his FG%. Kidd doesn't have the speed to drive past really quick guards anymore, so people leave him space to brick 20 footers. Kidd is still a good defender but will have problems against the Tony Parkers, Chris Pauls, and Steve Nashs of the world. He can D up bigger guards like nobody's business and post up smaller guards offensivley but the Mavs just traded away the best defensive 1 in the league for a guy who was better...5 years ago. Kidd's turnover rate has spiked significantly this year.
Maybe Jason will hope in the 'Juvination Machine and be amped up to play D against the elite guards in the West. Maybe Dallas will get out and run more, and actually be able to run a pick and roll in a halfcourt set. Maybe Kidd will hit those shots in clutch times like he's done so often before. Maybe his playoff savy-ness and guts and heart and determination and sheer strength of will will take this team to the promise land. Maybe Dallas has another trade in the shadows to bring in some depth on the front line, a defensive presense down low. I sure hope.
But I wouldn't have traded a 24 year old PG who's one of the top 6-7 in the league with potential to be top 3 AS WELL AS my best low post defender - in the conference where I could concievably have to play some combination of David West, Tyson Chandler, Carlos Boozer, Amare, Shaq, Bynum, Gasol, and Tim Duncan just to get to the finals - AND two first round picks just to find out when my team was already championship caliber and my window in which I could realistically win it all was at least 3 years longer before the trade than after.
Wednesday, February 13, 2008
The Return of J-Kidd
This from Devin Harris' wiki page "Devin Lamar Harris (born February 27, 1983, in Milwaukee, Wisconsin) is an American basketball player for the New Jersey Nets." at 2:39pm on 2/13. Hurray for the immediate news cycle we now live in. Before this trade is done, it is done.
ESPN: "Although sources say that the teams are still sorting out final details, this deal was described as "imminent" by multiple sources close to the process after negotiations moved to an advanced stage Tuesday night. The deal -- salvaged from talks on a three-way trade with Portland that developed and fizzled quickly two weeks ago -- has Dallas sending 24-year-old point guard Devin Harris, veteran swingman Jerry Stackhouse, the expiring contracts of center DeSagana Diop and swingman Devean George and guard Maurice Ager to New Jersey for Kidd and forward Malik Allen. "
Devin, Diop, George, Mo and Stack for Kidd and Malik Allen.
I don't like this trade. I don't like getting 10 years older at the 1 spot. Even though Kidd is an upgrade over Devin, Devin is really good and has taken a huge step forward this season after being given the big contract extension. Devin Harris kills Tony Parker. This team was developed in order to beat the Spurs, and this team would beat the Spares in a 7 game series. I have total faith in that. I think that this team, pre trade, is a championship calliber team. Apparently Donnie Nelson doesn't. I hate making a panic move. The Lakers and Suns add big names but Shaq is 50 years old and a terrible fit for their scheme, Pau is soft and has never won a playoff game - not series....GAME! in his life. The Mavs may have opened the window a little larger for themselves this year, but they slammed it shut 3 years from now.
I don't like loosing Diop, who plays D on Duncan better than almost anyone in the league. The Lakers and Suns just added bigs and we're now stuck with Erica Dampier, and .... Ju Ho?? Bass who would stomped by Shaq... Malik Allen - who apparently is an professional basketball player?
I hate losing Stack. He gives us scoring and toughness off the bench. The Nets may buy him out - and I assume that there is a tacit agreement in place for this deal to go through that the Nets will buy out Stack's contract and he will return to the Mavs after 30 days.
Lets look at the crux of this deal... Kidd and Devin.
While Mr Triple Double is approaching is 35th year on earth, he's still a great, GREAT point guard.
Kidd's passing ability is legendary but his rebounding is his most remarkable skill. Last season he set a modern era record for short guy rebouding, grabbing 13.2 % of his teams boards, while his rate is down slightly this year (12.6) it is still the good for 4th on the list.
The Nets are not a very good team, they have been outscored by 3.6 points per 100 possesions with Kidd on the floor. With Kidd sitting on the bench they have been outscored by 10.6 pp100p. With Kidd on the floor the Nets have scored an average of 105.6 pp100p, without Kidd just 96.8.
Despite Kidd's defensive rep, he has lost at least half of step over the years. He now longer has the footspeed to stay in front of the quickest guards. He can switch onto big SG's ... Kobe?
Kidd however has always been a poor shooter, and is having a really bad season shooting the ball. The Nets as a team shoot much better when Kidd's on the floor than not (47.8% - 44.9%)
** Question from JJ, "How were the Nets able to acquire Kidd for Stephon Marbary, and we have to give up sooooo much for an older Kidd who's now about to be past his prime???"
Kidd's not the problem...in two years Kidd's the problem.
Devin is one of the best young PG's in the league. He's a human blur, he consistantly gets to the rack -- something Kidd doesn't do -- and he's actually an elite defender. He's a solid passer, but a great drive and dish PG who's just getting better.
If Dirk was three years older I think this move makes sense (like Pheonix adding an old Shaq to team with old Nash...didn't we not sign Nash because we didn't want an old PG?!??!?!?!?!?????) Dallas was set to make a run over the next 4-6 years but now we're just looking at the next 1-2 years.
If we win a ring this year the deal is ok. But there will always be the what if's with Devin making East All-Star teams over the next decade and in 2 years when JJB is our starting PG all we can do is look to the rafters, reflect, and then ponder why we are now wasting the last few years of Dirk and Josh's prime.
ESPN: "Although sources say that the teams are still sorting out final details, this deal was described as "imminent" by multiple sources close to the process after negotiations moved to an advanced stage Tuesday night. The deal -- salvaged from talks on a three-way trade with Portland that developed and fizzled quickly two weeks ago -- has Dallas sending 24-year-old point guard Devin Harris, veteran swingman Jerry Stackhouse, the expiring contracts of center DeSagana Diop and swingman Devean George and guard Maurice Ager to New Jersey for Kidd and forward Malik Allen. "
Devin, Diop, George, Mo and Stack for Kidd and Malik Allen.
I don't like this trade. I don't like getting 10 years older at the 1 spot. Even though Kidd is an upgrade over Devin, Devin is really good and has taken a huge step forward this season after being given the big contract extension. Devin Harris kills Tony Parker. This team was developed in order to beat the Spurs, and this team would beat the Spares in a 7 game series. I have total faith in that. I think that this team, pre trade, is a championship calliber team. Apparently Donnie Nelson doesn't. I hate making a panic move. The Lakers and Suns add big names but Shaq is 50 years old and a terrible fit for their scheme, Pau is soft and has never won a playoff game - not series....GAME! in his life. The Mavs may have opened the window a little larger for themselves this year, but they slammed it shut 3 years from now.
I don't like loosing Diop, who plays D on Duncan better than almost anyone in the league. The Lakers and Suns just added bigs and we're now stuck with Erica Dampier, and .... Ju Ho?? Bass who would stomped by Shaq... Malik Allen - who apparently is an professional basketball player?
I hate losing Stack. He gives us scoring and toughness off the bench. The Nets may buy him out - and I assume that there is a tacit agreement in place for this deal to go through that the Nets will buy out Stack's contract and he will return to the Mavs after 30 days.
Lets look at the crux of this deal... Kidd and Devin.
While Mr Triple Double is approaching is 35th year on earth, he's still a great, GREAT point guard.
Kidd's passing ability is legendary but his rebounding is his most remarkable skill. Last season he set a modern era record for short guy rebouding, grabbing 13.2 % of his teams boards, while his rate is down slightly this year (12.6) it is still the good for 4th on the list.
The Nets are not a very good team, they have been outscored by 3.6 points per 100 possesions with Kidd on the floor. With Kidd sitting on the bench they have been outscored by 10.6 pp100p. With Kidd on the floor the Nets have scored an average of 105.6 pp100p, without Kidd just 96.8.
Despite Kidd's defensive rep, he has lost at least half of step over the years. He now longer has the footspeed to stay in front of the quickest guards. He can switch onto big SG's ... Kobe?
Kidd however has always been a poor shooter, and is having a really bad season shooting the ball. The Nets as a team shoot much better when Kidd's on the floor than not (47.8% - 44.9%)
** Question from JJ, "How were the Nets able to acquire Kidd for Stephon Marbary, and we have to give up sooooo much for an older Kidd who's now about to be past his prime???"
Kidd's not the problem...in two years Kidd's the problem.
Devin is one of the best young PG's in the league. He's a human blur, he consistantly gets to the rack -- something Kidd doesn't do -- and he's actually an elite defender. He's a solid passer, but a great drive and dish PG who's just getting better.
If Dirk was three years older I think this move makes sense (like Pheonix adding an old Shaq to team with old Nash...didn't we not sign Nash because we didn't want an old PG?!??!?!?!?!?????) Dallas was set to make a run over the next 4-6 years but now we're just looking at the next 1-2 years.
If we win a ring this year the deal is ok. But there will always be the what if's with Devin making East All-Star teams over the next decade and in 2 years when JJB is our starting PG all we can do is look to the rafters, reflect, and then ponder why we are now wasting the last few years of Dirk and Josh's prime.
Sunday, February 10, 2008
Suns' New Offense
Via a secret hookup I've been able to get my hands on the Pheonix Suns' new offensive plays.
Wednesday, February 6, 2008
When I think European, fast-break offense...I think Shaq!
Great day in Mavs land as the Steve Kerr seems hell bent on destroying the Suns. Pheonix was on it's last legs before the trade and make themselves marginally worse in the abstract and much worse given the specific schemes of Mike Dan Tony and the Suns krewe - sorry, missing Mardi Gras.
The Massive Luminous Balls of Plasma Burning Due to Nuclear Fusion's have never had a deep squad and just depleted it while symotaniously getting older, slower, and one of the worst contracts in the game.
The guys at Basketball Prospectus shared their view of the trade and had generally the same outlook...What was Steve Kerr doing? Miami now has a really good rebuilding oppurtunity.
February 6, 2008Court VisionShaq to the Suns
by Bradford Doolittle
Printer-friendly
ContactAuthor
With the move of Shaquille O’Neal to Phoenix for Shawn Marion apparently only a
doctor’s word away from fruition, a strange season in the tightly-packed Western Conference just got a whole lot goofier.
As teams jockey for position in a circuit ripe for the picking, GMs may be losing their heads. The Lakers’ Mitch Kupchak, savvy veteran of the front office wars that he is, took a logical risk in taking on Pau Gasol from Memphis. This was the first year of contention for this group of Lakers anyway and they had the Andrew Bynum injury with which to deal.
Kupchak didn’t have to break up his core to make his deal; bringing in Gasol merely rearranges his components. The chemistry might not work as well as LA hopes, but there is no denying that from a talent standpoint, the trade was a boost for the Lakers.
With the trade of Shaquille O’Neal to Phoenix for Shawn Marion, the Suns have become a brand-spanking-new team, yet a much older team, and a team facing a steep dropoff at some point within the next couple of years—a Miami-style tumble.
With the Suns and Lakers both having stepped up to the plate, the Mavericks now are at the dish. Dallas’ dilemma is more similar to Phoenix than LA. With the Mavs’ already nearly $40 million over the cap, they will have to part with productive young talent to make any significant acquisition. Jason Kidd rumors have suggested that he would cost Dallas Devin Harris. Shaq-to-Dallas speculation said that Josh Howard would have been headed to Miami. The Kidd deal probably makes more sense, at least if you believe that that there is a significant difference in productivity between Harris and Kidd at this point in their careers—and that the difference favors Kidd. As much as it pains Mark Cuban to be an idle bystander, the Mavericks might be better off sitting out the current trade bazaar.
** SPORTSBULLIES NOTE WE COMPLETELY AGREE AND WHILE BEING HUGE J KIDD FANS DO NOT WANT TO GIVE UP HARRIS **
As for the Suns, their focus in making this deal was obviously short term. Steve Nash just turned 34, Raja Bell is 31, and Grant Hill is 35, and that’s three-fifths of the Suns’ starting lineup. But I'm not sure that even taking into account the necessity of adopting a win-now stance justifies Steve Kerr’s thinking.
** I DON'T REALLY BUY THE WHOLE "RAJA BELL IS OVER 30...WE'D BETTER WIN NOW" ARGUMENT BUT NASHTY IS IN HIS DECLINE AND AS HE GOES SO GO THE SUNS **
It’s true that Marion, for whatever reason, was not happy in Phoenix. Getting to run the floor, fire up threes, and catch alley-oop passes from Nash must really suck, and Marion apparently thinks basketball nirvana is shooting at will for a bad team.
** ASK HIS BUDDY JOE JOHNSON **
While Marion has been a little off his game from last season, he still rates as one of the 15 best players in the NBA. Whatever attitude problems he may have been having, it was not impacting the Suns’ ability to win games. Marion can opt out of his contract after the season, leaving over $17 million on the table in the process. But that’s after the season.
In the meantime, the Suns could have kept a core group intact that was probably an Amare Stoudemire suspension away from winning the NBA title last season. Yes, there are some differences from last season’s roster. The loss of Kurt Thomas last offseason for cap reasons left Phoenix short of quality interior defenders. The Suns get absolutely killed by opposing centers, who have a collective 23.2 PER against Phoenix. But that is a relatively small quibble, a little roster tweak that Kerr could have addressed in a much more low-key manner than by trading for one of the NBA’s preeminent characters.
But in Kerr’s defense, the danger is that Marion ultimately walks after the season. Since Phoenix would still be slightly over the cap even with Marion’s contract off the books, the Suns would have to fill his spot with a mid-level exception and then would be stuck with a combination of that middling free agent and Boris Diaw at the four spot. Perhaps that was a risk Kerr wasn’t
willing to take. Instead, he’s gambling that O’Neal, with two more years on his contract after this one, at $20 million per annum, will buy Phoenix an extra year at the top of the NBA ladder before a complete overhaul takes place in 2010.
Nevertheless, you have to think that the key motivation for Kerr is to maximize the Suns’ opportunity to win the title this season. So before making this trade, he had to ask: “Does this make us better now?”
Needless to say, the swap of Marion for O’Neal completely changes the dynamic of the Suns.
First, the notion should be dispelled that Shaq—if healthy—can no longer play. O’Neal is a shell of his former self. But his shell is still an above-average NBA big man and brings a defensive skill set that Phoenix lacked almost entirely. O’Neal is averaging 19.9 points and 10.9 rebounds per 40 minutes, and despite playing for a Miami team devoid of offensive options, he shot 58.1 percent from the field for the Heat. For players with at least 500 minutes played, O’Neal still has one of the top 15 foul-drawing rates in the game. He still blocks over two shots per 40 minutes
and, digging into my defensive numbers, opposing centers have operated at an efficiency rate of 96.8 percent of their typical output in their matchups with O’Neal: He’s still an above-average defender.
So Shaq can still play, but can he play in Phoenix’s system?
**NOTE: SHORT ANSWER, NO**
What the Suns have to hope for is that gains in their halfcourt offense can neutralize the losses in their transition game. Make no mistake about it—there will be a dropoff in Phoenix’s fast break attack. Marion is one of the fastest players in the league from baseline to baseline and the advantage he had in footspeed over opposing power forwards is not likely to be compensated
for.
That’s not to say that the Suns’ fastbreak is dead. Amare Stoudemire, who will shift to his natural position at the four, is no slouch at running the floor, himself. He may not be able to consistently outrun teams with small-ball offenses, like Golden State, but for the most part, he’ll still be a plus for Phoenix in this aspect. O’Neal should give a modest boost to the Suns’ performance on the boards, as well, though Marion is a terrific rebounder in his own right. Still, if Phoenix is able to do a better job of controlling the defensive boards, that only enhances its ability to get into a fast break mode.
There is actually a long tradition of plodding centers functioning well on fast break teams. The ’72 Lakers were the highest-scoring team in the league with 35-year-old Wilt Chamberlain averaging 42 minutes per game. Chamberlain shot less than 10 times per contest, content to lead the league in rebounding and start the LA break. The “Showtime” Lakers of the ‘80s featured an aging Kareem Abdul-Jabbar. So I’m not concerned about whether the Suns’ uptempo attack can still function with O’Neal in the middle.
** I AM. SHAQ CAN'T LEAD THE LEAGUE IN REBOUNDING ANYMORE, EVEN IF HE COULD I DOUBT HE'D BE "HAPPY TO" WHILE GETTING NO SHOTS. THIS TEAM IS NOT IN THE SAME STRATOSPHERE AS THE SHOW TIME LAKERS **
I am concerned, however, about what happens to Phoenix’s dangerous halfcourt offense. Right now, the Suns generally spread the floor, with Nash controlling the ball up top and the two, three, and four players planting themselves on the perimeter. Stoudamire sets the offense in motion with a high screen and Nash will either dish the ball to Stoudamire as he rolls to the
basket or, if someone helps from the outside, he’ll dish to the open man for a three or a drive to the hoop or, if the defense sags off of Nash and tries to deny an entry pass to Stoudamire, Nash will simply pop a three-point shot with deadly accuracy. There’s more to it than that, but that’s the basic foundation.
Now, O’Neal will clog things up. He is far too slow afoot at this juncture of his career to run the high pick-and-roll, and when Nash runs the play with Stoudamire, O’Neal will have to clear out of the way. But, of course, he’s not a candidate to shoot a jump shot, so when that happens, O’Neal will be effectively removed from the offense. Suddenly the mismatches for Phoenix’s
outside shooters become harder to come by.
So Mike D’Antoni is going to have to reconfigure things a little bit, likely to his chagrin. O’Neal, a plodding brute of a center, doesn’t really fit into the European-style attack that D’Antoni favors. If he wants to maximize O’Neal on the defensive end, then perhaps he’ll have to use Leandro Barbosa even more than he does now to give Phoenix another guy that can break down the
defense. But that weakens the Suns’ perimeter defense, which will already be hurting because of the switch from Marion to Stoudemire guarding opposing power forwards. Think Dirk Nowitzki is happy today?
** LIST OF THINGS THAT WOULD MAKE DIRK VERY HAPPY:
1. David Hasselhoff
2. Streudel
3. Tanting the Bucks over how much better he is than Tractor Traylor
4. His hair
5. Fat blunts
6. David Hasselhoff
7. Some good sax
8. This picture
9. This picture
10. Invading Poland
11. Feeling Steve Nash's boobie
12. One-on-one (note: the other guy in the picture is 6'4'')
13. Flying over Bruch Bowen
14. The glory and power of Germany
15. Pimp clothes
Like I said, this trade changes the whole dynamic in Phoenix. Steve Kerr might have felt backed against a wall, with Marion’s desire to bail and the much-ballyhooed move of Gasol to LA. But if the only consideration for Kerr was winning this year, he probably would have been better off standing pat. And none of this even addresses the concerns about O’Neal’s health, and that’s probably the biggest issue of all. If O’Neal is unable to stay on the court, then this trade turns out to be an absolute disaster for Phoenix.
The bottom line is that the Suns were probably the odds-on favorite to win the championship before this trade was made. They were far from an overwhelming favorite, but the favorite nonetheless. But now, who knows?
In the end, the trade changes the modus operandi of the Suns, both from the standpoint of their efficiencies on both ends of the court and their overall style of play. What they already had worked—they were on the cusp of beating the Spurs last season, and there is no reason they couldn’t go even further this season. Yes, they needed another interior defender to fill the Kurt Thomas role, but this is the answer? The Suns’ starting lineup now includes three players
aged 34 or older. Their window for success just got a lot smaller.
As for the Heat …
This was a real coup for Pat Riley, who can suddenly reshape the woebegone Heat much faster than anyone could have hoped for. I, for one, thought that O’Neal’s albatross of a contract would be immovable this season and probably next season, as well. But now, with that money off the books, he has a half-season to audition Marion, and perhaps more if the mercurial forward likes
what he sees in south Florida and exercises his option to play for Miami next year.
Meanwhile, Riley has a top-five lottery pick coming up and will be shedding Jason Williams, Ricky Davis, and Alonzo Mourning from his payroll. He should be in a position to pursue some of the ample bounty in the next free-agent crop, and if Marion opts out, he may be able to fit in two impact talents. With a little craftiness and a lot of luck, next year’s Heat lineup could include a healthier Dwyane Wade, Marion, Michael Beasley, and somebody like Jermaine O’Neal.
The long dark age that appeared to be descending over Miami may not come at all. How quickly things can change in a day.
Bradford Doolittle is an author of Basketball Prospectus. You can contact Bradford by clicking here or click here to see Bradford's other articles.
The Massive Luminous Balls of Plasma Burning Due to Nuclear Fusion's have never had a deep squad and just depleted it while symotaniously getting older, slower, and one of the worst contracts in the game.
The guys at Basketball Prospectus shared their view of the trade and had generally the same outlook...What was Steve Kerr doing? Miami now has a really good rebuilding oppurtunity.
February 6, 2008Court VisionShaq to the Suns
by Bradford Doolittle
Printer-friendly
ContactAuthor
With the move of Shaquille O’Neal to Phoenix for Shawn Marion apparently only a
doctor’s word away from fruition, a strange season in the tightly-packed Western Conference just got a whole lot goofier.
As teams jockey for position in a circuit ripe for the picking, GMs may be losing their heads. The Lakers’ Mitch Kupchak, savvy veteran of the front office wars that he is, took a logical risk in taking on Pau Gasol from Memphis. This was the first year of contention for this group of Lakers anyway and they had the Andrew Bynum injury with which to deal.
Kupchak didn’t have to break up his core to make his deal; bringing in Gasol merely rearranges his components. The chemistry might not work as well as LA hopes, but there is no denying that from a talent standpoint, the trade was a boost for the Lakers.
With the trade of Shaquille O’Neal to Phoenix for Shawn Marion, the Suns have become a brand-spanking-new team, yet a much older team, and a team facing a steep dropoff at some point within the next couple of years—a Miami-style tumble.
With the Suns and Lakers both having stepped up to the plate, the Mavericks now are at the dish. Dallas’ dilemma is more similar to Phoenix than LA. With the Mavs’ already nearly $40 million over the cap, they will have to part with productive young talent to make any significant acquisition. Jason Kidd rumors have suggested that he would cost Dallas Devin Harris. Shaq-to-Dallas speculation said that Josh Howard would have been headed to Miami. The Kidd deal probably makes more sense, at least if you believe that that there is a significant difference in productivity between Harris and Kidd at this point in their careers—and that the difference favors Kidd. As much as it pains Mark Cuban to be an idle bystander, the Mavericks might be better off sitting out the current trade bazaar.
** SPORTSBULLIES NOTE WE COMPLETELY AGREE AND WHILE BEING HUGE J KIDD FANS DO NOT WANT TO GIVE UP HARRIS **
As for the Suns, their focus in making this deal was obviously short term. Steve Nash just turned 34, Raja Bell is 31, and Grant Hill is 35, and that’s three-fifths of the Suns’ starting lineup. But I'm not sure that even taking into account the necessity of adopting a win-now stance justifies Steve Kerr’s thinking.
** I DON'T REALLY BUY THE WHOLE "RAJA BELL IS OVER 30...WE'D BETTER WIN NOW" ARGUMENT BUT NASHTY IS IN HIS DECLINE AND AS HE GOES SO GO THE SUNS **
It’s true that Marion, for whatever reason, was not happy in Phoenix. Getting to run the floor, fire up threes, and catch alley-oop passes from Nash must really suck, and Marion apparently thinks basketball nirvana is shooting at will for a bad team.
** ASK HIS BUDDY JOE JOHNSON **
While Marion has been a little off his game from last season, he still rates as one of the 15 best players in the NBA. Whatever attitude problems he may have been having, it was not impacting the Suns’ ability to win games. Marion can opt out of his contract after the season, leaving over $17 million on the table in the process. But that’s after the season.
In the meantime, the Suns could have kept a core group intact that was probably an Amare Stoudemire suspension away from winning the NBA title last season. Yes, there are some differences from last season’s roster. The loss of Kurt Thomas last offseason for cap reasons left Phoenix short of quality interior defenders. The Suns get absolutely killed by opposing centers, who have a collective 23.2 PER against Phoenix. But that is a relatively small quibble, a little roster tweak that Kerr could have addressed in a much more low-key manner than by trading for one of the NBA’s preeminent characters.
But in Kerr’s defense, the danger is that Marion ultimately walks after the season. Since Phoenix would still be slightly over the cap even with Marion’s contract off the books, the Suns would have to fill his spot with a mid-level exception and then would be stuck with a combination of that middling free agent and Boris Diaw at the four spot. Perhaps that was a risk Kerr wasn’t
willing to take. Instead, he’s gambling that O’Neal, with two more years on his contract after this one, at $20 million per annum, will buy Phoenix an extra year at the top of the NBA ladder before a complete overhaul takes place in 2010.
Nevertheless, you have to think that the key motivation for Kerr is to maximize the Suns’ opportunity to win the title this season. So before making this trade, he had to ask: “Does this make us better now?”
Needless to say, the swap of Marion for O’Neal completely changes the dynamic of the Suns.
First, the notion should be dispelled that Shaq—if healthy—can no longer play. O’Neal is a shell of his former self. But his shell is still an above-average NBA big man and brings a defensive skill set that Phoenix lacked almost entirely. O’Neal is averaging 19.9 points and 10.9 rebounds per 40 minutes, and despite playing for a Miami team devoid of offensive options, he shot 58.1 percent from the field for the Heat. For players with at least 500 minutes played, O’Neal still has one of the top 15 foul-drawing rates in the game. He still blocks over two shots per 40 minutes
and, digging into my defensive numbers, opposing centers have operated at an efficiency rate of 96.8 percent of their typical output in their matchups with O’Neal: He’s still an above-average defender.
So Shaq can still play, but can he play in Phoenix’s system?
**NOTE: SHORT ANSWER, NO**
What the Suns have to hope for is that gains in their halfcourt offense can neutralize the losses in their transition game. Make no mistake about it—there will be a dropoff in Phoenix’s fast break attack. Marion is one of the fastest players in the league from baseline to baseline and the advantage he had in footspeed over opposing power forwards is not likely to be compensated
for.
That’s not to say that the Suns’ fastbreak is dead. Amare Stoudemire, who will shift to his natural position at the four, is no slouch at running the floor, himself. He may not be able to consistently outrun teams with small-ball offenses, like Golden State, but for the most part, he’ll still be a plus for Phoenix in this aspect. O’Neal should give a modest boost to the Suns’ performance on the boards, as well, though Marion is a terrific rebounder in his own right. Still, if Phoenix is able to do a better job of controlling the defensive boards, that only enhances its ability to get into a fast break mode.
There is actually a long tradition of plodding centers functioning well on fast break teams. The ’72 Lakers were the highest-scoring team in the league with 35-year-old Wilt Chamberlain averaging 42 minutes per game. Chamberlain shot less than 10 times per contest, content to lead the league in rebounding and start the LA break. The “Showtime” Lakers of the ‘80s featured an aging Kareem Abdul-Jabbar. So I’m not concerned about whether the Suns’ uptempo attack can still function with O’Neal in the middle.
** I AM. SHAQ CAN'T LEAD THE LEAGUE IN REBOUNDING ANYMORE, EVEN IF HE COULD I DOUBT HE'D BE "HAPPY TO" WHILE GETTING NO SHOTS. THIS TEAM IS NOT IN THE SAME STRATOSPHERE AS THE SHOW TIME LAKERS **
I am concerned, however, about what happens to Phoenix’s dangerous halfcourt offense. Right now, the Suns generally spread the floor, with Nash controlling the ball up top and the two, three, and four players planting themselves on the perimeter. Stoudamire sets the offense in motion with a high screen and Nash will either dish the ball to Stoudamire as he rolls to the
basket or, if someone helps from the outside, he’ll dish to the open man for a three or a drive to the hoop or, if the defense sags off of Nash and tries to deny an entry pass to Stoudamire, Nash will simply pop a three-point shot with deadly accuracy. There’s more to it than that, but that’s the basic foundation.
Now, O’Neal will clog things up. He is far too slow afoot at this juncture of his career to run the high pick-and-roll, and when Nash runs the play with Stoudamire, O’Neal will have to clear out of the way. But, of course, he’s not a candidate to shoot a jump shot, so when that happens, O’Neal will be effectively removed from the offense. Suddenly the mismatches for Phoenix’s
outside shooters become harder to come by.
So Mike D’Antoni is going to have to reconfigure things a little bit, likely to his chagrin. O’Neal, a plodding brute of a center, doesn’t really fit into the European-style attack that D’Antoni favors. If he wants to maximize O’Neal on the defensive end, then perhaps he’ll have to use Leandro Barbosa even more than he does now to give Phoenix another guy that can break down the
defense. But that weakens the Suns’ perimeter defense, which will already be hurting because of the switch from Marion to Stoudemire guarding opposing power forwards. Think Dirk Nowitzki is happy today?
** LIST OF THINGS THAT WOULD MAKE DIRK VERY HAPPY:
1. David Hasselhoff
2. Streudel
3. Tanting the Bucks over how much better he is than Tractor Traylor
4. His hair
5. Fat blunts
6. David Hasselhoff
7. Some good sax
8. This picture
9. This picture
10. Invading Poland
11. Feeling Steve Nash's boobie
12. One-on-one (note: the other guy in the picture is 6'4'')
13. Flying over Bruch Bowen
14. The glory and power of Germany
15. Pimp clothes
Like I said, this trade changes the whole dynamic in Phoenix. Steve Kerr might have felt backed against a wall, with Marion’s desire to bail and the much-ballyhooed move of Gasol to LA. But if the only consideration for Kerr was winning this year, he probably would have been better off standing pat. And none of this even addresses the concerns about O’Neal’s health, and that’s probably the biggest issue of all. If O’Neal is unable to stay on the court, then this trade turns out to be an absolute disaster for Phoenix.
The bottom line is that the Suns were probably the odds-on favorite to win the championship before this trade was made. They were far from an overwhelming favorite, but the favorite nonetheless. But now, who knows?
In the end, the trade changes the modus operandi of the Suns, both from the standpoint of their efficiencies on both ends of the court and their overall style of play. What they already had worked—they were on the cusp of beating the Spurs last season, and there is no reason they couldn’t go even further this season. Yes, they needed another interior defender to fill the Kurt Thomas role, but this is the answer? The Suns’ starting lineup now includes three players
aged 34 or older. Their window for success just got a lot smaller.
As for the Heat …
This was a real coup for Pat Riley, who can suddenly reshape the woebegone Heat much faster than anyone could have hoped for. I, for one, thought that O’Neal’s albatross of a contract would be immovable this season and probably next season, as well. But now, with that money off the books, he has a half-season to audition Marion, and perhaps more if the mercurial forward likes
what he sees in south Florida and exercises his option to play for Miami next year.
Meanwhile, Riley has a top-five lottery pick coming up and will be shedding Jason Williams, Ricky Davis, and Alonzo Mourning from his payroll. He should be in a position to pursue some of the ample bounty in the next free-agent crop, and if Marion opts out, he may be able to fit in two impact talents. With a little craftiness and a lot of luck, next year’s Heat lineup could include a healthier Dwyane Wade, Marion, Michael Beasley, and somebody like Jermaine O’Neal.
The long dark age that appeared to be descending over Miami may not come at all. How quickly things can change in a day.
Bradford Doolittle is an author of Basketball Prospectus. You can contact Bradford by clicking here or click here to see Bradford's other articles.
Sunday, February 3, 2008
Eli Just Pooped in the Fridge
After the go-ahead TD pass to Plexiglass Eli was overheard saying, "What happened? I just blacked out for a minute."Who knew that there was something to JJ's dad refering to Eli as a 'Mongol Child'??
Super Bowl Pick
Lincoln back to bail all you out after a losing season -- assuming you haven't taken are advice in the past.
New York Giants @ New England Patriots (-12.5)
Mark it down, championship!
New York Giants @ New England Patriots (-12.5)
Mark it down, championship!
Saturday, February 2, 2008
2008 Rangers
BP just released their PECOTA predictions for the 2008 season. Here's a look at the Ranger's starting lineup.
Woo!!! ... I mean... yeah, that's... not that great.
I'll take the over on Ian Kinsler's line as well as Blalock's - but I doubt he'll be able to stay healthy for a whole season.
There's a LOT of injury risk with this team...Blalock, Milton, Josh Hamilton, MY...or basically the middle of the order.
Gimme the under on Byrd.
Few other notes -- PECOTA isn't particularlly enammared with any of our pitchers but doesn't seem to really hate any of them either. Francisco Cruceta get's a strang amount of PECOTA love -- I have no idea why.
The system is down on Chris Davis - sharing my opinoin - but has his #2 comp as a young David Ortiz!! His #1 comp is Jose Oliva. Russell Branyon takes bronze and seems like a happy medium.
Texas Ranger Baseball: Gettin' ready to hoist another thrid place banner in 2008!
Woo!!! ... I mean... yeah, that's... not that great.
I'll take the over on Ian Kinsler's line as well as Blalock's - but I doubt he'll be able to stay healthy for a whole season.
There's a LOT of injury risk with this team...Blalock, Milton, Josh Hamilton, MY...or basically the middle of the order.
Gimme the under on Byrd.
Few other notes -- PECOTA isn't particularlly enammared with any of our pitchers but doesn't seem to really hate any of them either. Francisco Cruceta get's a strang amount of PECOTA love -- I have no idea why.
The system is down on Chris Davis - sharing my opinoin - but has his #2 comp as a young David Ortiz!! His #1 comp is Jose Oliva. Russell Branyon takes bronze and seems like a happy medium.
Texas Ranger Baseball: Gettin' ready to hoist another thrid place banner in 2008!
Friday, February 1, 2008
Thursday, January 31, 2008
This Made Me Angry
I found this link in a BP article about PED's and the Hall of Fame vote. Rick Telander of the Chicago Sun-Times wrote about his empty HoF ballot, and I just had to go all FJM on it.
Ilook [sic] at my 2008 Hall of Fame ballot with sadness. That's a photocopy of it on the right, and as you can see, other than my name, signature and Baseball Writers' Association of America card number, it's unmarked.
I voted for no one.
I'm going to assume that Mr. Telander had his space bar covered by the tears of a thousand young children over the horrific turn MLB has taken...really you start the article off with a typeo??
I didn't mail my ballot. The stamp is still good.
Why do I care if the stamp is good? How lazy do you have to be to not even mail in your fucking ballot?!!!? I get that you're trying to make your ballot a martyr for the Steriod Era but wouldn't that be best served by sending it to the powers at be?? Or were you too afraid to, knowing that they would see you as a freaking bum?!? The fact that you stamped it would lead one (i.e. a rational human being) to think that you were going to mail it and then just didn't.
Know what I think? I think you just forgot completely about the vote and so decided to come up with this lame ass excuse. In my 8th grade Humanities class we had an assignment where we had to draw 6 pictures and then explain the symbolism of each. One of the guys in my class (Lars) forgot about one so he just turned in a blank sheet of paper. When the teacher asked him about it it said it was his, "invisible castle" which "symbolizes all my hopes and dreams that aren't tangible." It was the gayest thing ever. He got an A. This ballot is Rick Telander's invisble castle.
I am weary of the constant insult brought on by doping and stupidity and head-in-the-sand-ism and Bonds-ish arrogance and Clemens-ian tape-recording and duplicity of all manner and the way this has chipped away at the edifice of the wondrous American sport of baseball.
How about the fact that this is a media driven problem, the very same media that you are a part of Mr Telander gazing longingly at your childhood hopes and dreams on a blank sheet of paper that for some reason has a stamp on it. The media is complicit in their ignorance of the problem as it emerged, and now is soley responsible for wide spread blame-everyone-ness (I can add on random endings to words, too!) that leads other wise rational people (maybe I've giving you too much credit Mr. Telander) to think that everyone who ever played ball is a possible doper and therefore not worth of Hall-of-Fame-ariffic-ness-ing-s.
Rich Gossage -- nine All-Star teams, 310 saves, 2.36 World Series ERA. I'm delighted Goose was voted in Tuesday.
He deserved it.
I voted for him in 2007.
But I couldn't be a part of it this year.
The one sentence paragraph thing gets really old. Pardon me Ricky, but could you tell me one freaking thing at all that changed about Goose Gossage's career from 2007-2008? The idea that he was a Hall of Famer in 07 but because a handful of star players have been linked to the use of performance enhancers -- all the rumors and inuendo were there in 07 as well -- is completely fucking insane. Are you saying Goose roided, and you only learnt of this in the past calendar year and you felt strongly enough about it to not vote him into Cooperstown but you didn't report any of this???!!??!?!
My steroid disgust blossomed into anger and decayed into a kind of defiant ennui.
The image of commissioner Bud Selig shrugging his shoulders, of Barry Bonds gazing smugly at a disappearing baseball, of congressmen asking star athletes if they knew anything about syringes and cycles.
I get that the whole PED issue beats you down, it beats me down. The reason that it beats me down much is because there are soooooooooo many uninformed people, who bare responsibility in the problem, who don't take the time to accuractly fact check or try and find any sembalnce of truth. People just spout out insane rumor after insane rumor like... I don't know...just randomly picking one...Not voting for Goose Gossage because of steroids!!!
There is nothing in his "explination" that refers back to the fu-manchoed one at all. You still need to explain why in 07 Goose = Hall but 08 not so much.
What do you do, Rick?
You wrote about steroids as far back as the late 1970s.
I like that he asks himself questions as if someone would be reading this article and think it makes any fucking sense what so ever. Nice of you to try and save yourself with the "[I] wrote about steroids as far back as the late 1970s." Where's the article? Obviously you didn't stick with the cause, make a big enough hoopla out of the story. The best you can do is "the late 1970s"? this watershed moment in sports journalism has been pinpointed to a five year stretch when they were very pervasive in body building and football.
Tommy John -- 288 wins -- was a pioneer. He should be in the Hall...What if Tommy John made his comeback from that tendon grafting because of HGH?
First off, Tommy John should not be in the Hall. He was good pitcher who pitched for a really long time and had a surgery, that's it. Dr. Frank Jobe should be in the Hall, he is directly responsbile for saving the careers of more players than any other human in the history of the game. TJ should not get inducted just because someone chose to name the surgery after him...what if it was Frank Jobe surgery? or Ulnar Collateral Ligament Replacement surgery? It just easier to say Tommy John because it's a really common name that people know and associate with the surgery.
Second off, let me get this straight... You didn't vote for Tommy John - who you said "should be in the Hall" because he has a lot of wins (terrible way to meausre pitchers) - because you think he's a possible HGH user???
Gimme a minute here...
...*bangs head against wall for several hours*...
Ok I'm back.
How about I give you conclusive, indisputiable proof that TJ didn't use HGH? Dr. Jobe performed the groundbreaking surgery on September 25th, 1974. A company called Genentech pioneered the first use of recombinant human growth hormone for human therapy in 1981.
So unless Dr. Jobe hopped in the De Lorean, stole some HGH, then went back in time -- assuming he could generate the 1.21 gigawats of electricty needed to opperate the flux capacitor --- then gave the future HGH to Tommy John so he could rehab slightly faster and continue his mediocre to good (and in NO WAY HALL OF FAME WORTHY) career, I think it's safe to say that Tommy John did not use HGH.
That took me 7 seconds to find out on wikipedia; just typed in "Tommy John" for the date of the surgery, "HGH" to find the history of the drug and I still had time to check the spelling on De Lorean.
You're too fucking lazy to take 7 seconds out of your pompous genuflection of the good ole days to find out the truth. Instead you make crazy rediculous clames about Tommy John using HGH.
...should be in the Hall. Same with Andre Dawson, Lee Smith, Jim Rice and maybe Bert Blyleven
Maybe it's all for the best that you didn't vote this year if you think a corner outfielder with a .323 career OBP should be in along with a closer whose entire value is tied with the fact that he has tons of saves (maybe the worst stat in baseball) and a "feared" hitter who was so feared that he was intenionally walked 77 times in 8225 ab's. All these guys should be in ahead of one of the 12-15 best pitchers of all time.
What about the single most deserving guy not in the Hall, Ron Santo...oh, wait, he used insulin.
Everybody's innocent until proven guilty, we heard again and again.
Except in my eyes where I make wild crazy allegations that have no basis in rational thought and deprive people of their profession's ultimate priveldge because of it.
I have been to Cooperstown.
And I can say unequivocally it is the most magical, enchanted village I have visited in this country.
More one sentence paragraphs. Cooperstown should be held in that high of regard, which is why you should at least put in some freaking effort into your ballot!! People like you are ruining the Hall. You don't care enough about the job you have to do to search on wikipedia for 10 seconds.
Cooperstown, hard by Otsego Lake, nestled in the Adirondacks,
I have no clue what the hell "hard by" means.
It is our past and our present, mortared by baseball. By heroes.
And torn down by mad Dr. Jobe and his time machine!
This must have actually happened, he went back in time and changed history that's the only possible way to explain the fact that someone can take no time or effort at all in the HoF vote make certifiably insane claims and keep their job.
Who is President of the United States?
"George Bush"
"The Actor??!?!?"
Ilook [sic] at my 2008 Hall of Fame ballot with sadness. That's a photocopy of it on the right, and as you can see, other than my name, signature and Baseball Writers' Association of America card number, it's unmarked.
I voted for no one.
I'm going to assume that Mr. Telander had his space bar covered by the tears of a thousand young children over the horrific turn MLB has taken...really you start the article off with a typeo??
I didn't mail my ballot. The stamp is still good.
Why do I care if the stamp is good? How lazy do you have to be to not even mail in your fucking ballot?!!!? I get that you're trying to make your ballot a martyr for the Steriod Era but wouldn't that be best served by sending it to the powers at be?? Or were you too afraid to, knowing that they would see you as a freaking bum?!? The fact that you stamped it would lead one (i.e. a rational human being) to think that you were going to mail it and then just didn't.
Know what I think? I think you just forgot completely about the vote and so decided to come up with this lame ass excuse. In my 8th grade Humanities class we had an assignment where we had to draw 6 pictures and then explain the symbolism of each. One of the guys in my class (Lars) forgot about one so he just turned in a blank sheet of paper. When the teacher asked him about it it said it was his, "invisible castle" which "symbolizes all my hopes and dreams that aren't tangible." It was the gayest thing ever. He got an A. This ballot is Rick Telander's invisble castle.
I am weary of the constant insult brought on by doping and stupidity and head-in-the-sand-ism and Bonds-ish arrogance and Clemens-ian tape-recording and duplicity of all manner and the way this has chipped away at the edifice of the wondrous American sport of baseball.
How about the fact that this is a media driven problem, the very same media that you are a part of Mr Telander gazing longingly at your childhood hopes and dreams on a blank sheet of paper that for some reason has a stamp on it. The media is complicit in their ignorance of the problem as it emerged, and now is soley responsible for wide spread blame-everyone-ness (I can add on random endings to words, too!) that leads other wise rational people (maybe I've giving you too much credit Mr. Telander) to think that everyone who ever played ball is a possible doper and therefore not worth of Hall-of-Fame-ariffic-ness-ing-s.
Rich Gossage -- nine All-Star teams, 310 saves, 2.36 World Series ERA. I'm delighted Goose was voted in Tuesday.
He deserved it.
I voted for him in 2007.
But I couldn't be a part of it this year.
The one sentence paragraph thing gets really old. Pardon me Ricky, but could you tell me one freaking thing at all that changed about Goose Gossage's career from 2007-2008? The idea that he was a Hall of Famer in 07 but because a handful of star players have been linked to the use of performance enhancers -- all the rumors and inuendo were there in 07 as well -- is completely fucking insane. Are you saying Goose roided, and you only learnt of this in the past calendar year and you felt strongly enough about it to not vote him into Cooperstown but you didn't report any of this???!!??!?!
My steroid disgust blossomed into anger and decayed into a kind of defiant ennui.
The image of commissioner Bud Selig shrugging his shoulders, of Barry Bonds gazing smugly at a disappearing baseball, of congressmen asking star athletes if they knew anything about syringes and cycles.
I get that the whole PED issue beats you down, it beats me down. The reason that it beats me down much is because there are soooooooooo many uninformed people, who bare responsibility in the problem, who don't take the time to accuractly fact check or try and find any sembalnce of truth. People just spout out insane rumor after insane rumor like... I don't know...just randomly picking one...Not voting for Goose Gossage because of steroids!!!
There is nothing in his "explination" that refers back to the fu-manchoed one at all. You still need to explain why in 07 Goose = Hall but 08 not so much.
What do you do, Rick?
You wrote about steroids as far back as the late 1970s.
I like that he asks himself questions as if someone would be reading this article and think it makes any fucking sense what so ever. Nice of you to try and save yourself with the "[I] wrote about steroids as far back as the late 1970s." Where's the article? Obviously you didn't stick with the cause, make a big enough hoopla out of the story. The best you can do is "the late 1970s"? this watershed moment in sports journalism has been pinpointed to a five year stretch when they were very pervasive in body building and football.
Tommy John -- 288 wins -- was a pioneer. He should be in the Hall...What if Tommy John made his comeback from that tendon grafting because of HGH?
First off, Tommy John should not be in the Hall. He was good pitcher who pitched for a really long time and had a surgery, that's it. Dr. Frank Jobe should be in the Hall, he is directly responsbile for saving the careers of more players than any other human in the history of the game. TJ should not get inducted just because someone chose to name the surgery after him...what if it was Frank Jobe surgery? or Ulnar Collateral Ligament Replacement surgery? It just easier to say Tommy John because it's a really common name that people know and associate with the surgery.
Second off, let me get this straight... You didn't vote for Tommy John - who you said "should be in the Hall" because he has a lot of wins (terrible way to meausre pitchers) - because you think he's a possible HGH user???
Gimme a minute here...
...*bangs head against wall for several hours*...
Ok I'm back.
How about I give you conclusive, indisputiable proof that TJ didn't use HGH? Dr. Jobe performed the groundbreaking surgery on September 25th, 1974. A company called Genentech pioneered the first use of recombinant human growth hormone for human therapy in 1981.
So unless Dr. Jobe hopped in the De Lorean, stole some HGH, then went back in time -- assuming he could generate the 1.21 gigawats of electricty needed to opperate the flux capacitor --- then gave the future HGH to Tommy John so he could rehab slightly faster and continue his mediocre to good (and in NO WAY HALL OF FAME WORTHY) career, I think it's safe to say that Tommy John did not use HGH.
That took me 7 seconds to find out on wikipedia; just typed in "Tommy John" for the date of the surgery, "HGH" to find the history of the drug and I still had time to check the spelling on De Lorean.
You're too fucking lazy to take 7 seconds out of your pompous genuflection of the good ole days to find out the truth. Instead you make crazy rediculous clames about Tommy John using HGH.
...should be in the Hall. Same with Andre Dawson, Lee Smith, Jim Rice and maybe Bert Blyleven
Maybe it's all for the best that you didn't vote this year if you think a corner outfielder with a .323 career OBP should be in along with a closer whose entire value is tied with the fact that he has tons of saves (maybe the worst stat in baseball) and a "feared" hitter who was so feared that he was intenionally walked 77 times in 8225 ab's. All these guys should be in ahead of one of the 12-15 best pitchers of all time.
What about the single most deserving guy not in the Hall, Ron Santo...oh, wait, he used insulin.
Everybody's innocent until proven guilty, we heard again and again.
Except in my eyes where I make wild crazy allegations that have no basis in rational thought and deprive people of their profession's ultimate priveldge because of it.
I have been to Cooperstown.
And I can say unequivocally it is the most magical, enchanted village I have visited in this country.
More one sentence paragraphs. Cooperstown should be held in that high of regard, which is why you should at least put in some freaking effort into your ballot!! People like you are ruining the Hall. You don't care enough about the job you have to do to search on wikipedia for 10 seconds.
Cooperstown, hard by Otsego Lake, nestled in the Adirondacks,
I have no clue what the hell "hard by" means.
It is our past and our present, mortared by baseball. By heroes.
And torn down by mad Dr. Jobe and his time machine!
This must have actually happened, he went back in time and changed history that's the only possible way to explain the fact that someone can take no time or effort at all in the HoF vote make certifiably insane claims and keep their job.
Who is President of the United States?
"George Bush"
"The Actor??!?!?"
WTF!?!!??!
Ever wonder why there are as many African American Major League Baseball players?
There are a myriad of reasons but how about an ump being in the KKK?
What's most shocking is the the "what does being the KKK have to do with being an umpire" line! Man, that takes brass ones to say that out loud...much less while someone is writing it down.
Go ask Milton Bradley and Charlie Hayes if Mike Winters could let racism affect his on field performance (and the performance of the entire San Diego Padres team who most likely would have beat the Rockies with Bradley in center and then maybe they go to the World Series.)
Being an ump is a really cool job. You get the best seat in the house for 162 games a year, and maybe playoffs. You get a nice six figure check. You get virtually all winter and most of the spring off. You get to travel and see virtually all the major cities in the country.
There are also some down sides. You're away from your family for extended periods of time. You get booed and heckled (from fans and players.) You have to toil away in the minors for years before making it up to the show (just like players.) But it's worth it because you're job is pretty sweet.
You're charged with maintaining the safety, integrity, and competitive balance of the game. This CAN NOT be done by a racist biggot. How can you fairly make a call when you have that strong of personal biases? You don't see judges in the KKK - your job rests on the idea of you being fair and impartial.
This could be 10x worse than the NBA gambling scandel, igniting racial fury (as Black History month is about to begin) could permantly scar the game.
There are a myriad of reasons but how about an ump being in the KKK?
What's most shocking is the the "what does being the KKK have to do with being an umpire" line! Man, that takes brass ones to say that out loud...much less while someone is writing it down.
Go ask Milton Bradley and Charlie Hayes if Mike Winters could let racism affect his on field performance (and the performance of the entire San Diego Padres team who most likely would have beat the Rockies with Bradley in center and then maybe they go to the World Series.)
Being an ump is a really cool job. You get the best seat in the house for 162 games a year, and maybe playoffs. You get a nice six figure check. You get virtually all winter and most of the spring off. You get to travel and see virtually all the major cities in the country.
There are also some down sides. You're away from your family for extended periods of time. You get booed and heckled (from fans and players.) You have to toil away in the minors for years before making it up to the show (just like players.) But it's worth it because you're job is pretty sweet.
You're charged with maintaining the safety, integrity, and competitive balance of the game. This CAN NOT be done by a racist biggot. How can you fairly make a call when you have that strong of personal biases? You don't see judges in the KKK - your job rests on the idea of you being fair and impartial.
This could be 10x worse than the NBA gambling scandel, igniting racial fury (as Black History month is about to begin) could permantly scar the game.
Wednesday, January 30, 2008
Friday, January 25, 2008
Mock, Yeah! Ing, Yeah!
Hola to the ever loyal readers. With Senior Bowl (Spanish for Mr. Bowl) practices just about wrapped up I figured it was as good a time as any to post a new Mock Draft
1. Miami Dolphins- Jake Long OT Michigan
Jeff Ireland and Tuna have a big job ahead of them in revamping a roster virtually devoid of talent -- what talent is there is past it's prime. No matter who the Phins take, they will end up with a really good player. Glen Dorsey isn't a great fit for 3-4, I'm not sure Chris Long has the upside you need from a #1 pick (though I like him an awful lot.) Jake Long can anchor the Miami line for the next decade help keep the QB (whoever it is) healthy.
Good: Long is a very advanced OL prospect who profiles as a true stud LT. Great size, strength, and quickness. Leader of those Michigan teams.
Not So Good: Almost anything is nitpicking with Long, but he's not as good a prospect as Joe Thomas last year. Very well rounded but isn't crazy-lights-out-dominate in any one area.
Perfect World: Legit All-Pro left tackle...and he has a very high likely hood of reaching his plateau.
2. St. Louis Rams - Glenn Dorsey DT LSU
The Rams may covet Dorsey more than the Dolphins do but if Glenn Dorsey falls into your lap, you have a very easy draft decision.
Good: Truly disruptive force inside the DL. Big strong man, with unbelievable burst and quickness. Good lateral movement. Plays the run well, but getting pressure is what makes him really special. Consistently moves the LOS backward. Best player on the best team in college.
Bad: Again, not a lot to fill up this spot. Has battled injuries, played through pain all the past season and was rarely 100%. May be a tad immature; but really nothing to worry about.
Perfect World: Hall of Fame, transcendent talent who is a nightmare for opposing linemen. Young Warren Sapp.
3. Atlanta Falcons - Matt Ryan QB Boston College
The Atlanta organization is in shambles, but the reclamation project should begin with a QB.
Good: Size, arm strength, and delivery are all prototypical for NFL QB. Productive at a high level, played in pro style offense. Earns very high marks for leadership.
Bad: Arm is not elite, throws a few too many INTs, completion % has gone down in each of the past three years. I may put too much emphasis on his Va Tech game where he was visibly rattled and felt ghost pressure all day - I worry about him having a mild case of David Carr disease.
Perfect World: He could emerge as a franchise QB but personally I think it's unlikely, could be a less whiny Eli Manning.
4. Oakland Raiders - Darren McFadden RB Arkansas
Value surpasses need, I don't think Al Davis can help himself if Run DMC is still on the board.
Good: Everything
Bad: Um....well...nope, can't think of anything.
Perfect World: All-Pro franchise back who is a threat out of backfield and can pop the occasional trick play on you, should be the 2nd best back in football (behind Peterson) very soon...may already be the 2nd best RB on earth.
5. Kansas City Chiefs - Chris Long DE Virginia
KC really needs help along the LOS, while they may prefer Jake, Chris Long could team up with Jared Allen to form the best white DE tandem in recent memory.
Good: Incredibly strong with tremendous natural talent but plays with even better technique - testament to the coaching he has received in his career, from both his dad and Al Groh. Versatile, can play inside or out in 4-3 or anchor a 3-4 from the end. Had an impressive 14 sacks and 19 TFL this year.
Bad: Is not a speed rusher and may have some difficulty as a rookie playing against linemen who are as smart and strong as he is.
Perfect World: Howie 2.0, a great DE who is equally effective putting pressure on the QB and shutting down the run.
6. New York J-E-T-S - Vernon Gholston DE THE Ohio State
While the Jets won karma points for their week 17 victory, they lost points in the draft - moving from #3 to #6 overall and missing out on a chance as really elite player.
Good: Very good strength and speed combo from the outside. Can probably play OLB in 3-4 or DE for short bursts. The only player to get a sack off of Jake Long. 22.5 sacks and 30.5 TFL over the past two seasons.
Bad: Very limited starting experience - just started two years at OSU. Still raw.
Perfect World: A slightly smaller Greg Ellis who gives Jets fans something cheer about other than molesting women at halftime.
7. New England Patriots - Mike Jenkins CB South Florida
It saddens me that the Pats get to add a top 10 player to their team, even worse that this draft matches up well with their few needs.
Good: Great size/speed combo. Has the natural ball skills to make big plays. Extremely quick COD skills. Good potential as return man. Played some safety at USF. Makes great breaks on ball. When asked about Jenkins' speed USF head coach Jim Leavitt invoked the name, "Deion."
Bad: Always looking to make the big play, can be susceptible to big play action passes. Doesn't like to tackle. Charged with misdemeanor counts of disorderly conduct and opposing or obstructing an officer without violence during the 2007 off-season.
Perfect World: #1 shut down corner who makes Pats fans say, "Asante who?"
8. Baltimore Ravens - Brian Brohm QB Louisville
Remember back in 2006 when the Ravens were one of the best teams in football? You won't hear many Ravens fans espouse the wonders of parity because that means good teams have to fall from grace.
Good: Good size, frame, arm. Very smart and experienced. Extremely productive - over 10,000 career yards. Plus accuracy.
Bad: Required surgery for a torn ACL in 2005, torn ligaments in his thumb in 2006 and most recently went under the knife to repair his non-throwing shoulder in January of '07. Played in an offensive system that pumped up his numbers and didn't ask him to make a lot of difficult throws. Mobility is very limited and he isn't much of a threat to scramble.
Perfect World: Jim Kelly...but more likely, a few burgers shy of Drew Bledsoe.
9. Cincinnati Bengals - Sedrick Ellis DT USC
I was somewhat skeptical of the Ellis buzz but his performance at the Senior Bowl this week has officially made me a believer. The Bengals need help all over that D and Ellis is the type of unique, high upside, high character, high motor guy that would be perfect for the Ohio Tigers!
Good: Well I kinda just said a lot of them, but Ellis a disruptive 4-3 DT who will require constant double teams. Very quick, great hand placement and sheds blocks well. Has the energy of an Eduardo Najera or David Lee - or insert your favorite basketball energy guy - but the skill of an All-Star.
Bad: It's odd to call someone 6'1'', 290 lbs small but for a DT in today’s NFL he is somewhat undersized ... and people only worry about HGH and PEDs in baseball ... thus should be valued much more highly by 4-3 teams than 3-4 ones.
Perfect World: LaRoi Glover
10. New Orleans Saints - Aqib Talib CB Kansas
Saints slipped this year, while a lot of focus was on their offense who really struggled early on the 'Aints' D needs mucho helpo especially in the secondary.
Good: Talib has elite level ball skills, very good COD, great height for a CB - 6'2''. He was the best DB in college last year and versatile enough to play some WR for Kansas. Very good return man. 11 picks over the past 2 years.
Bad: I worry about his top end speed. If he runs really well in the combine he could jump over Mike Jenkins and be the top CB but for now he might be half a step slow to be a legit shut down corner.
Perfect World: Good #1 corner who makes big plays, helps out in all areas of the game who you don't feel real comfortable leaving in man on a go route.
11. Buffalo Bills - Malcolm Kelly WR Oklahoma
Outside of Lee Evans the Bills' WR corpse leaves much to be desired.
Good: Kelly isn't the #1 on every board but I have a pretty sizable man-crush on this Sooner -- which just goes to show how good he is since I am generally anti Sooner. Kelly has the size, speed, route running ability, hands, big play ability, possession...ness (that's a word!) in short everything you could want from a #1 WR. Despite being a junior he has most of the OU receiving records. Very polished even though he only played with a real good QB this past year (Sam Bradford who was a freshman.)
Bad: Lacks elite top end speed...but it's still good enough for him to get open deep.
Perfect World: 98% of Larry Fitzgerald and Trent Edwards' best friend.
12. Denver Broncos - Ryan Clady OT Boise State
After years of being among the best in the league the Denver's OL is in need of some help. Kenny Phillips is also a very real possibility here since John Lynch is quite old - but still awesome!
Good: Clady is a mountain of a man, 6'6'' 320lbs, but is very good playing in space. May run the best 40 of any LT in this draft. Big enough to engulf defenders. Tremendous Upside Potential.
Bad: Clady's still young and fairly raw.
Perfect World: The next great Denver Lineman.
13. Carolina Panthers - Calais Campbell DE The U
Martin Rucker has likely played his last game for the Panthers and without help Carolina's front 7 will not be near as feared as it has been the past few seasons.
Good: 6'8'' 290lb ends who run 4.8's don't just grow on trees.
Bad: Campbell came into the year with extremely high expectations and was viewed as possible top 3 pick, he didn't meet expectations - though he was not horrible 6 sacks, 12.5 TFL. He'll impress people at the combine but playing with Julius Peppers on the other side has a way of getting the best out of people.
Perfect World: Pro-Bowl end who puts up big sack numbers.
14. Chicago Bears - Andre Woodson QB Kentucky
Not Breaking News: The Bears could use a QB.
Good: Woodson has the size, frame, arm strength, accuracy, and footwork that should make NFL brass drool. Set NCAA record for most consecutive throws without an interception. HUGE CEILING
Bad: Needs to improve decision making, played in a system that limited QB reads. Floats a few too many passes - although he was the gun to make all the throws. His release is a little long - but it's not like he's Byron Leftwich or anything. There is a flame out possibility with him.
Perfect World: All time draft steal, Franchise QB... next McNabb?
15. Detroit Lions - Jeff Otah OT Pitt
...Trying...to...resist...Millen/WR...joke...
Good: 6'6'' 340lbs. Very strong. Good enough athlete to play LT.
Bad: Needs lots of refinement. Only has two years of D-1 experience (JUCO guy who spent two years at the NFL breeding ground Valley Forge Military Academy.) Probably won't start right away.
Perfect World: Project who rewards patience by anchoring your line for a decade.
16. Arizona Cardinals - Keith Rivers OLB USC
Most mocks have the Cards taking a RB here - and they could use one - but I believe that NFL teams will see the depth of this RB class - as good as any in recent memory - coupled with the success of teams who use the tandem running back system and guys like Stewart/Mendenall/Felix Jones (who have 1st round ability) will drop thanks to very low marginal utility.
Good: Very fast, sideline to sideline range. Will lay a highlight reel hit. Experienced, 4 year starter. Recognizes plays quickly and plays with great aggression. Comes from program with very good record for producing NFL LBs.
Bad: Undersized for some schemes, future is likely as 4-3 WSB which limits his draft value - although fits well for a team like Arizona if they stay 4-3. Doesn't consistently wrap up, goes for knockout too often.
Perfect World: Key contributor on a championship level D who racks up triple digit tackle numbers year in and year out.
17. Minnesota Vikings - Derrick Harvey DE Florida
Minnesota hasn't had great luck with first round DE's in the recent past (although Udeze still offers a lot to like) while WR may be a more pressing need the org philosophy seems to be "don't take WR's in the first round, only defensive ends."
Good: Pressure player. Very good speed on the outside. Best game was in BCS Championship when he single handily knocked Troy Smith down 2 rounds in the draft.
Bad: Somewhat of a one dimensional guy. Needs to stand up against the run better. Worry about him getting knocked around as an every down end vs the run. May be better as a 3-4 OLB or money package pass rush specialist.
Perfect World: A guy who gets to the QB regularly in big spots. Minnesota's version of Green Bay's KGB?
18. Houston Texans - Kenny Phillips S THE U
Houston could go RB here but that would hurt my RB's will slide theory...and besides, have the Texans ever gone for offense when everyone thought they would?
Good: Just about everything! Phillips is 6'2'' 210, and runs in the mid 4.4's. A junior with three years of starting experience for a school with a pretty good track record for sending guys to the league, especially safeties. Solid in run support, really good in coverage. Can play anywhere in the secondary. Ball hawk.
Bad: Sometimes too aggressive and still a little raw, will go for the big hit or pick when he should just wrap up the ball carrier or bat the pass down. Hips are probably a little slow opening to line him up on an island too often vs WRs.
Perfect World: Game changing safety.
19. Philadelphia Eagles - Sam Baker OT USC
The lineman formerly known as Tra Thomas is on his last legs and Winston Justice apparently sucks.
Good: Baker is an experienced, technically sound player with solid size 6'5'' 305. Very smart player who gets the most out of his ability.
Bad: Not a great athlete. Needs to get stronger, can be beaten off the edge by good speed rush. Not a mauler, was rarely 100% healthy the past couple years.
Perfect World: Baker lacks the high upside of other first round linemen in this draft but is a solid bet to be a scrappy, hard-working, starter. If his NFL career fails, he can call his dad who is Commish of the Arena Football League.
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - DeSean Jackson WR Cal
One of my favorite prospects in this draft could be the long term replacement to Joey Galloway.
Good: Speed, speed, speed. Jackson is a big time playmaker who is a threat to take it the distance anytime he touches the ball. One of the best return men in the nation. Good hands, leaping ability.
Bad: On the smaller side, 6'0'' 178lbs. Needs to improve his route running to be a #1 receiver. Should struggle to get off a jam against physical corners. Character concerns...thinks he's as good as he can be, not as good as he is. Pac-10 WR's have a very poor track record of success...TJ Whosyourmomma and Ocho Cinco being about the only notable exceptions.
Perfect World: Pro-Bowl return man and big time vertical treat who creates space for everyone else. If he doesn't improve his route running he'll stay a slot guy...Santana Moss on the downside and Galloway on the higher side.
21. Washington Redskins - Limas Sweed WR Texas
This pick is pretty clearly going to be either a WR or a pass rusher. The way this mock worked out Limas is the best value on the board and represents the type of big-target, possession WR that Washington lacks. Sweed would thrive playing with burners like Moss and Randle El on the outside, a good running game, and a receiving threat at TE (like Cooley.)
Good: Sweed has the size, hands, and natural receiving ability to be a top flight NFL receiver and constant red-zone threat. Very fluid athlete, good leaper...dominated jump balls in college. Not afraid to go over the middle, first down machine.
Bad: In the 40 yard dash obsessed draft world we live in Sweed will not blow anyone away, he lacks great top end speed. Phenomenal talent when on the field, is coming off an injury [only played in 6 games this past year.]
Perfect World: A poor man's Keyshawn.
22. DALLAS COWBOYS - Leodis McKelvin CB Troy
While I had visions of taking McFadden with the Browns' pick last summer things change. (Really Derek Anderson, you picked this year to be amazing?!?!???) As I covered recently, there are still plenty of reasons to be happy as a Cow fan and one of them is that Dallas can add a CB, WR, and RB with their 3 top 60 picks.
Good: I would be lying to you if I said I watched lots of Troy football this season, but the more I study McKelvin the more I like him. He's a great size/speed/athleticism combo with great man on man cover skills. He makes quick breaks on the ball, is a solid tackler and All-American return man.
Bad: Troy didn't quite face SEC level competition...more along the lines of Big 10... so he will have a bigger jump than most to the NFL.
Perfect World: Rashean Mathis... small school corner turned NFL stud.
Note: I'm excited for the possibility of me getting drunk and making Leonidis McLovin jokes at the TV!
23. Pittsburgh Steelers - Anthony Collins OT Kansas
That's right, two Kansas Jayhawks going in the first round and it's not even the NBA draft.
Good: If you were to design the perfect LT prospect you'd get someone who looked a lot like Anthony Collins. The 6'5'' behemoth is a svelte 315 pounds and could run a 5.0 40...now linemen don't have run 40 yards downfield very often but his quickness/ability to be left in space vs speed rushers/ability to pull outside on screens and run plays makes Collins a very intriguing prospect.
Bad: Despite his obvious physical gifts, Collins is somewhat of a finesse tackle. He played in a very pass heavy spread offensive system and needs to get stronger in order to be an effective run blocker at the NFL level.
Perfect World: Athletic starting LT who is terrific in pass protection
24. Tennessee Titans - Reggie Smith DB Oklahoma
WR is obviously a real possibility with this pick but secondary help is also needed in the Volunteer State.
Good: Smith is a big, physical DB with good speed. Effective vs the run and has pretty good cover skills. Has played both safety and corner for OU. Junior three year starter has lots of experience in big games.
Bad: I listed his position as DB because I'm not sure if he'll play corner or safety at the next level. Likely would be most effective at S since his hips are a little too stiff to be left on an island too often.
Perfect World: He's able to stay outside and becomes a good #2 corner.
25. Seattle Seahawks - Kentwan Balmer DT UNC
Some people (I'm looking at you Mel Kiper) have Balmer much higher than this, but I'm not as enamored with him. To me Sedrick Ellis is closer to Dorsey and Balmer is to Ellis. However he is a one-gap DT who can get pressure up the middle and Seattle needs that.
Good: Balmer had a good senior year for the Tar Heels in which he logged 59 of his 93 career tackles. Big and extremely strong. Good run stopper inside.
Bad: Not a true NT. One year wonder...why wasn't he this good before?
Perfect World: Solid starting DT on a good defense.
26. San Diego Chargers - Gosder Cherilus OT Boston College
The Chargers will return one of the NFL's most talented rosters but could some help on the OL.
Good: At 6'7'' 315lbs, Cherilus engulfs defenders and plays with great technique. From a program with a great record for producing NFL linemen. Very hard worker was a four year starter at BC.
Bad: Future will be at RT or inside at guard. Lacks the huge upside of most of the other big line prospects in this draft. Started 37 consecutive games at right tackle but he moved to the left side as a senior and had some struggles. Can get beat by great speed rushers. Needs to get a little stronger - but has the frame to add some bulk and not loose anything.
Perfect World: Next in the long line of BC linemen who carve out good solid careers.
27. Jacksonville Jaguars - Chris Ellis DE Va Tech
The Jags go off the board every once in a while and Ellis is the type of player that a scouting director can really get infatuated with.
Good: Ellis is one of the best speed rushers in this draft and could really wow people at the combine. Has great football intelligence, anticipates action/snap very well. Tremendous acceleration for a big guy. Gets great jumps on plays, gets to the QB and can make plays from behind in pursuit.
Bad: May be a little small to play every down, 6'4'' 255. Biggest concerns are injury and character. Has torn the labrum in his right shoulder twice. Suspended in 2006 after he was arrested and charged with resisting arrest and obstructing justice.
Perfect World: Valuable pass rusher who plays 40 snaps a game...a little better version of Darryl Tapp.
28. Green Bay Packers - Brandon Flowers DB Va Tech
While GB may be tempted to try and find a new toy for Favre, they would be wise to nab the top DB on the board with this pick. Harris and Woodson are both on the wrong side of 30 and Atari Bigby starts so the Pack need for young DB should be obvious.
Good: Very tough, aggressive DB with good top end speed. Very productive - 86 tackles and 5 picks this season. Played a lot of corner in college but looks more like a SS to me.
Bad: A little too thick to play corner, 5'10'' 200lbs. Hips are a little stiff, vulnerable to double moves by quicker WR's.
Perfect World: I really think highly of Flowers and could see him as a top 10 safety capable of covering TE/RB's in man and laying the wood to anyone who comes over the middle.
29. DALLAS COWBOYS - Mario Manningham WR Michigan
Both TO and Glenn are closer to the end of their careers and the beginning (in Glenn's case he may already be there) and while Patrick Crayton is a pretty good WR Dallas has no one else on its roster who could step up and be a potential #1. Personally, I'm very conflicted on Manningham I loved everything he did in college up until the Ohio State game this year (see, below: Bad)
Good: On speed/route running/hands there may not be a better WR in this draft than Manningham. He's from a great program and was amazingly productive (over 2,300 yards in his career, caught 72 balls this season.) Averaged almost 17 ypc for his career and was a touch down machine.
Bad: Came down with a very bad case of alligator arms against Ohio State this year, started hearing footsteps and dropped several catchable balls. Looked visibly rattled. Little on the small side, 6'0'' 180 and could stand to get a little stronger vs the press.
Perfect World: Donald Driver
30. San Fransico 49ers - James Hardy WR Indiana
The 9ers may have been the worst team in football this year and have plenty of holes to fill.
Good: Hardy is one of those guys that transfixed me casually watching games this fall. A 6'7'' WR with unbelievable hands is really eye catching. He's a narrow waisted guy who gets in and out of his breaks well. Massive, massive hands. Very good athlete, should really make people take notice at the combine. Caught 191 passes in three years, 36 touchdowns and over 2,700 yards.
Bad: As great an athlete as he is, he lacks great timed speed. Played in a pass first offense, so despite his size he needs work as a run blocker. Is somewhat frail, slender for his massive frame.
Perfect World: Joe Jurevicius/ Drew Bennett
31. New York Giants - Ali Highsmith OLB LSU
I really can't believe the Giants are in the Super Bowl...
Good: Highsmith can go sideline to sideline with the best of them. Great athlete who plays well in coverage. Great motor, always around the ball. Good leader, coming off a great year (100 tackles, 9 TFL, 3 sacks, 8 PBU.)
Bad: Just 6'1'' 225. Limited to being a WSB in a 4-3. Needs to get strong
Perfect World: See Rivers, Keith
** I'll have round 2 up soon as well as some videos of select prospects.
Thursday, January 24, 2008
Trend...???
Since this blog is run mainly by a sabermatrician and a historian we, The Sports Bullies, are big believers in looking to the past as evidence of the future.
Who knew that twenty years ago Prince Akeem foretold of the Giants victory at Lambeau?
Sure it's nice to see that in retrospect...if only there was a movie that told us who was going to win the Super Bowl?
Pats win, and cover!
I'm off to put down my mortgage.
Who knew that twenty years ago Prince Akeem foretold of the Giants victory at Lambeau?
Sure it's nice to see that in retrospect...if only there was a movie that told us who was going to win the Super Bowl?
Pats win, and cover!
I'm off to put down my mortgage.
Tuesday, January 22, 2008
Bye Bye Byrdy?
While deals for Santana, Bedard, and any remaining Oakland A seem to be on hiatus the buzz around baseball hints that there may actually be a trade completed soon.
While sending Marlon Byrd to the Cubbies won't make the top of SportCenter, it is exactly the type of small deal that winning clubs make.
If the Rangers make a deal of say Marlon Byrd and Robbie Tejeda to Chicago for Matt Murton, Sean Gallagher, and Kyler Burke, Texas would use a good two months from Byrd to add an outfielder actually talented enough to garner playing time for a good team.
This trade would be the ultimate trading of player(s) [I'll include Tejeda in this category too] who's perceived value excededs there actual value for one(s) who's perceived value is lower than their actual value.
Matt Murton is a better player than Marlon Byrd. Sean Gallagher is also a better player than Byrd. Kyler Burke - who you won't find on any Cubs top 10 lists but has a ton of talent and may be on the verge of tapping into it after good fall and winter league showings - would be a low cost "throw in" to this deal and would immediately be the Rangers' 2nd best OF prospect (Engle Beltre).
Byrd had an OPS of 916 at home this year...714 on the road. 976 Pre All-Star break...727 after the mid summer classic. Barring some fortunate stroke of luck, Byrd will be a .260/.315/.410 hitter next year. But the Cubs want him because he can play centerfield...despite the fact that he was the 6th worst centerfielder in baseball last year.
Murton should out OPS Byrd by 100 points next season and play above average defense in the corners. Gallagher is a big league ready young solid pitcher who start the year in AAA and be ready to step into the rotation if...when...one of the starters gets hurt/sucks, and should stay in the rotation as a good #3/4 starter.
Hopefully this deal, or one like it will happen soon and JD will show his growth as a GM and Jim Hendry will show his decline.
While sending Marlon Byrd to the Cubbies won't make the top of SportCenter, it is exactly the type of small deal that winning clubs make.
If the Rangers make a deal of say Marlon Byrd and Robbie Tejeda to Chicago for Matt Murton, Sean Gallagher, and Kyler Burke, Texas would use a good two months from Byrd to add an outfielder actually talented enough to garner playing time for a good team.
This trade would be the ultimate trading of player(s) [I'll include Tejeda in this category too] who's perceived value excededs there actual value for one(s) who's perceived value is lower than their actual value.
Matt Murton is a better player than Marlon Byrd. Sean Gallagher is also a better player than Byrd. Kyler Burke - who you won't find on any Cubs top 10 lists but has a ton of talent and may be on the verge of tapping into it after good fall and winter league showings - would be a low cost "throw in" to this deal and would immediately be the Rangers' 2nd best OF prospect (Engle Beltre).
Byrd had an OPS of 916 at home this year...714 on the road. 976 Pre All-Star break...727 after the mid summer classic. Barring some fortunate stroke of luck, Byrd will be a .260/.315/.410 hitter next year. But the Cubs want him because he can play centerfield...despite the fact that he was the 6th worst centerfielder in baseball last year.
Murton should out OPS Byrd by 100 points next season and play above average defense in the corners. Gallagher is a big league ready young solid pitcher who start the year in AAA and be ready to step into the rotation if...when...one of the starters gets hurt/sucks, and should stay in the rotation as a good #3/4 starter.
Hopefully this deal, or one like it will happen soon and JD will show his growth as a GM and Jim Hendry will show his decline.
Saturday, January 19, 2008
The Germans Bombed Pearl Harbor
I know it's been a long time since my last post, but I had finals, then Lappy (my laptop computer) died, then I went down to Mexico for a weekend before the Cowboys game and things really got out of control...
But I sit here writing, finally recovered from my Giants induced hangover, and believe that time has given me some perspective on things. So let's take a deep breathe and realize something Cowboys' fans.
THINGS AREN'T ALL THAT BAD!
Yes, it's been 12 years since the franchise's last playoff win, and yes our head coach and quarterback have combined for 0 career postseason wins: but other than the Patriots there is not a team in the National Football League in better position for the future.
But I sit here writing, finally recovered from my Giants induced hangover, and believe that time has given me some perspective on things. So let's take a deep breathe and realize something Cowboys' fans.
THINGS AREN'T ALL THAT BAD!
Yes, it's been 12 years since the franchise's last playoff win, and yes our head coach and quarterback have combined for 0 career postseason wins: but other than the Patriots there is not a team in the National Football League in better position for the future.
- Romo is locked up long term! I have complete and total faith that our Jedi leader will be better than ever next year. He really didn't play that poorly vs the G-Men (minus a few times where he held onto the ball too long looking for a big play.) He'll take some time to party with several Hollywood starlets, tour with Metal Skool, and continue adding highlights to what can be a Hall of Fame career. Very few teams have a QB of Romo's caliber on their roster, much less at slightly below market rates for the majority of his career (Indy, New England, Cincy...that's about it - Guys like Cutler, Quinn, JaMarcus, etc have that kind of ceiling but are not proven)
- Boys have 2 picks in the upcoming draft. True the Browns success made that pick be about 20 spots higher than I thought it would be prior to opening day, but having two picks in the bottom third of the this draft actually fits Dallas' needs very well. The Cowboys are extremely talented but could use youth and depth at corner, receiver, and tail back. How does an Aqib Talib, Malcolm Kelly, Ray Rice trio look? Or what about Limas Sweed, Felix Jones and Terrell Thomas? DeSean Jackson, Leodis McKelvin, Jamaal Charles? Corner and Wide Out both have high upside fairly low risk guys that should come off the board in the 20-30 range while the running back class is as strong as I can remember - good players can definitely be had in the late second or third rounds.
- Dallas should still be $20,000,000 under the cap. Jerry will be able to retain important free agents (Flo and Kenny Hamlin) while strategically targeting a key free agent or two without jeopardizing the future financial well being of the team.
- New Stadium is on the horizon. Effects on the field will likely be minimal but I'm sure Jerry will like adding a few hundred million dollars to the value of the club. Honestly, Texas Stadium is a dump and it's embarrassing America's Team plays there. The Cowboys should have a gorgeous stadium and the new Whoever-Pays-The-Most-For-Naming-Rights Field will be world class.
- Cowboys are still young. Dallas was the 4th youngest team in the League this season. Of guys that play important parts only TO, Glenn, Flo, and Ellis are on the downside of their careers. I fully expect TO to remain a valuable player until he's 40 - the guy may be in the best shape of any person on earth - but we do need to find his replacement (see: draft, 2008 or Williams, Roy in free agency in a couple years.) Glenn has been a great addition to this team but Crayton can replace his production...and did this year. Flo is still one of the 5 best LT's in the game but finding his eventual successor will be important (could be Doug Free or James Marten who were drafted last year, I just hope Jerry doesn't move Leonard Davis back out to tackle the man is a guard and a fantastic one but he's a liability on an island against a speed rusher.) Greg Ellis played at an All-Pro level (note I say All-Pro as opposed to Pro-Bowl because one is a much higher indication of actual skill level than the other) when he was on the field but I have faith that Anthony Spencer could fill his role next season and barely miss a beat. EVERYONE ELSE IS JUST ENTERING THEIR PRIME OR STILL HAS A COUPLE YEARS LEFT IN IT. The only possible exception would be T-New but he would have to fall off a cliff to not be one of the 10 best corners in the league.
I know I got the feeling that this year could be special too. In reality, this year is special for one team and they play in freakin Boston (who I'm completely sick of now, I can't wait for the Mavs to beat the C's and the Rangers to beat the Sox...ok...how about the Tigers?) New England has to lose sometime next year or the year after and Dallas should be right, as well positioned as any team in football going forward.
We're not going to roll over and die!
Nothing is over until we say it is!
I'm off to a Toga party, and to bask in the warmth of the Mavs magical season.
peace!
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)